WC Qual. Africa Primera Ronda Final
Global 0-1
Guinea-Bisáu vs Sierra Leone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
51.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea-Bisáu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
SLE
1 - 0
GNB
60%
22%
17%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2003 |
MLI
2 - 0
GNB
78%
16%
7%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
GNB
1 - 2
MLI
17%
23%
60%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1988 |
GNB
3 - 1
GAM
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +8 |
| 30 Apr. 1988 |
GNB
1 - 1
SEN
20%
27%
53%
|
45 | 72 | 27 | +1 |
Matches
Sierra Leone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
SLE
1 - 0
GNB
60%
22%
17%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2007 |
SLE
0 - 2
BEN
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
MLI
6 - 0
SLE
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
SLE
0 - 1
TOG
48%
27%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
TOG
3 - 1
SLE
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |