Guinea-Bisáu vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.3%
12%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
82.5%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
12.3%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.2%
0-4
8.5%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
11.6%
0-5
4.7%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6.1%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea-Bisáu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
ZAM
2 - 1
GNB
77%
16%
7%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
MOZ
2 - 2
GNB
38%
25%
37%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -6 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
GUI
7 - 0
GNB
82%
13%
5%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
GNB
1 - 3
GUI
17%
21%
62%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
GNB
1 - 0
NAM
23%
22%
55%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
ZAM
2 - 1
GNB
77%
16%
7%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
GAB
0 - 1
ZAM
26%
27%
48%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
NAM
1 - 1
ZAM
28%
27%
45%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
ZAM
2 - 4
ZIM
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2018 |
ZAM
1 - 0
MAD
63%
22%
16%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | +1 |