WC Qual. Africa 1ra Ronda Final
Global 1-2
Guinea-Bisáu vs Togo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
46.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea-Bisáu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
GNB
0 - 2
ANG
20%
23%
57%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
KEN
2 - 1
GNB
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
EQG
1 - 4
GNB
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
UGA
2 - 0
GNB
75%
16%
10%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
GNB
0 - 1
UGA
21%
22%
57%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Togo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
TUN
2 - 0
TOG
74%
17%
8%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
TOG
1 - 0
BOT
38%
28%
35%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
NIG
3 - 3
TOG
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
MWI
1 - 0
TOG
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2011 |
GHA
4 - 1
TOG
71%
19%
10%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |