Guinea-Bisáu vs Kenya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
41.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea-Bisáu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
GNB
1 - 3
LBR
34%
24%
43%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
LBR
1 - 1
GNB
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
GNB
2 - 4
CGO
26%
24%
51%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
MLI
3 - 1
GNB
78%
15%
7%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
GNB
1 - 1
MLI
16%
21%
63%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
CPV
2 - 0
KEN
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
KEN
1 - 0
CPV
22%
26%
52%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
KEN
0 - 0
MUS
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
MUS
2 - 5
KEN
26%
28%
47%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
KEN
1 - 2
ZAM
18%
24%
58%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |