WC Qual. Africa Clasificación Final
Global 1-4
Guinea-Bisáu vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
59.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea-Bisáu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1988 |
GNB
3 - 1
GAM
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1988 |
GNB
1 - 1
SEN
20%
27%
53%
|
45 | 72 | 27 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1988 |
GNB
0 - 0
SLE
41%
25%
35%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1986 |
SLE
3 - 2
GNB
68%
18%
15%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1986 |
GNB
1 - 0
MTN
66%
18%
16%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2003 |
SYC
0 - 2
MLI
9%
17%
74%
|
75 | 41 | 34 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
MLI
0 - 0
ZIM
50%
27%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
MLI
1 - 0
ERI
88%
10%
2%
|
75 | 13 | 62 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
MLI
2 - 0
MAD
74%
17%
9%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
ERI
0 - 2
MLI
6%
16%
78%
|
75 | 13 | 62 | 0 |