WC Qual. Africa 1ra y 2da Ronda Semi-finals
Global 2-4
Guinea-Bisáu vs Liberia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
42.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea-Bisáu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
LBR
1 - 1
GNB
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
GNB
2 - 4
CGO
26%
24%
51%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
MLI
3 - 1
GNB
78%
15%
7%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
GNB
1 - 1
MLI
16%
21%
63%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
ZAM
0 - 0
GNB
72%
19%
9%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
LBR
1 - 1
GNB
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
LBR
1 - 0
TUN
12%
21%
68%
|
54 | 81 | 27 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
LBR
1 - 1
GUI
13%
18%
68%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2015 |
GUI
3 - 1
LBR
73%
16%
11%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
TOG
2 - 1
LBR
54%
22%
24%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |