Guinea-Bisáu vs Ethiopia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
50.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea-Bisáu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
GNB
2 - 1
SDN
31%
25%
43%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
SDN
1 - 0
GNB
45%
23%
32%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
GNB
0 - 1
NGA
10%
19%
72%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
EQG
4 - 2
GNB
54%
25%
22%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CIV
2 - 0
GNB
84%
11%
4%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Ethiopia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
ETH
1 - 2
LSO
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
ETH
0 - 3
BFA
25%
27%
48%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
ETH
0 - 0
SLE
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
EGY
1 - 0
ETH
77%
15%
8%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
ETH
2 - 0
GUY
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |