Guam vs Mongolia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
58.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2014 |
GUM
0 - 0
MAC
37%
22%
41%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2014 |
ABW
2 - 2
GUM
67%
18%
15%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
TWN
0 - 3
GUM
71%
16%
13%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2013 |
GUM
0 - 4
IND
14%
20%
66%
|
19 | 47 | 28 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
MMR
5 - 0
GUM
73%
16%
12%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Mongolia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2014 |
MNG
4 - 0
MNP
93%
6%
1%
|
36 | 5 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
LAO
1 - 1
MNG
49%
21%
30%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
MMR
2 - 0
MNG
60%
21%
20%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
MNG
1 - 0
MMR
31%
23%
46%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
MNG
2 - 1
PHL
26%
22%
53%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +2 |