Guam vs Macao analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
40.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2014 |
ABW
2 - 2
GUM
67%
18%
15%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
TWN
0 - 3
GUM
71%
16%
13%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2013 |
GUM
0 - 4
IND
14%
20%
66%
|
20 | 48 | 28 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
MMR
5 - 0
GUM
73%
16%
12%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2012 |
GUM
0 - 9
AUS
3%
14%
83%
|
20 | 88 | 68 | 0 |
Matches
Macao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
GUM
3 - 0
MAC
31%
22%
47%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2012 |
MNP
1 - 5
MAC
1%
7%
92%
|
25 | 5 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
MAC
1 - 7
VIE
19%
21%
61%
|
25 | 60 | 35 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
VIE
6 - 0
MAC
78%
14%
8%
|
26 | 60 | 34 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
MAC
3 - 2
KHM
35%
22%
44%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +2 |