Guam vs Macao analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
46.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2012 |
MNP
1 - 3
GUM
1%
6%
93%
|
18 | 5 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2012 |
PHL
3 - 0
GUM
79%
14%
7%
|
18 | 50 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2009 |
HKG
12 - 0
GUM
93%
6%
1%
|
19 | 54 | 35 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
TWN
4 - 2
GUM
84%
11%
5%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
PRK
9 - 2
GUM
92%
7%
1%
|
19 | 77 | 58 | 0 |
Matches
Macao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2012 |
MNP
1 - 5
MAC
1%
7%
92%
|
24 | 5 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
MAC
1 - 7
VIE
19%
21%
61%
|
25 | 60 | 35 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
VIE
6 - 0
MAC
78%
14%
8%
|
25 | 60 | 35 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
MAC
3 - 2
KHM
35%
22%
44%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
KHM
3 - 1
MAC
62%
18%
19%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |