Guam vs Macao analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
60.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2009 |
GUM
2 - 1
MNP
94%
5%
1%
|
19 | 6 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
GUM
1 - 0
MNG
6%
13%
81%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | +3 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
PAK
9 - 2
GUM
78%
14%
9%
|
16 | 41 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2008 |
TWN
4 - 1
GUM
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2008 |
GUM
1 - 5
LKA
25%
24%
52%
|
18 | 42 | 24 | -2 |
Matches
Macao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 2
MNG
32%
22%
46%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
MAC
6 - 1
MNP
97%
3%
0%
|
27 | 6 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
MAC
1 - 9
HKG
23%
23%
55%
|
27 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2008 |
MAC
0 - 1
HKG
23%
23%
55%
|
27 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2008 |
KHM
3 - 1
MAC
55%
20%
24%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |