WC Qual. Asia 1ª Ronda Final
Global 5-1
Guam vs Bután analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
32.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2019 |
BTN
1 - 0
GUM
31%
21%
48%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
MNG
1 - 1
GUM
42%
23%
35%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2018 |
MAC
2 - 0
GUM
31%
23%
46%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
GUM
4 - 0
MNP
87%
10%
3%
|
28 | 5 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
TWN
2 - 0
GUM
48%
23%
29%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bután
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2019 |
BTN
1 - 0
GUM
31%
21%
48%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
MDV
7 - 0
BTN
80%
13%
8%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
BTN
2 - 4
OMA
7%
17%
76%
|
22 | 75 | 53 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
PLE
10 - 0
BTN
82%
13%
5%
|
23 | 61 | 38 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
BTN
0 - 2
PLE
7%
18%
75%
|
23 | 61 | 38 | 0 |