Guam vs Australia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.1%
Win probability
0.25
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
<0%
+2
0.3%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
0.6%
3-2
0.1%
+1
2.8%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
<0%
0
13.8%
83.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
18.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
20.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
25%
0-3
15.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
17.7%
0-4
8.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0%
-4
9.6%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
TWN
1 - 1
GUM
80%
13%
7%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
PRK
5 - 0
GUM
87%
10%
3%
|
20 | 75 | 55 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
GUM
1 - 2
HKG
5%
14%
82%
|
21 | 50 | 29 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
GUM
3 - 0
MAC
31%
22%
47%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +2 |
| 18 Jul. 2012 |
MNP
1 - 3
GUM
1%
6%
93%
|
19 | 5 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
PRK
1 - 1
AUS
13%
22%
65%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
HKG
0 - 1
AUS
6%
17%
77%
|
88 | 50 | 38 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
KOR
1 - 2
AUS
48%
26%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
IRQ
1 - 2
AUS
25%
28%
47%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
JOR
2 - 1
AUS
20%
27%
53%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | -1 |