Guam vs Maldives analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
59.6%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2019 |
GUM
5 - 0
BTN
46%
21%
33%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2019 |
BTN
1 - 0
GUM
31%
21%
48%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
MNG
1 - 1
GUM
42%
23%
35%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2018 |
MAC
2 - 0
GUM
31%
23%
46%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
GUM
4 - 0
MNP
87%
10%
3%
|
27 | 5 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Maldives
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
MAS
3 - 0
MDV
50%
25%
26%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
MDV
7 - 0
BTN
80%
13%
8%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
SGP
3 - 2
MDV
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
PLE
8 - 1
MDV
75%
16%
9%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
MDV
1 - 3
OMA
11%
20%
70%
|
41 | 75 | 34 | 0 |