Guam vs Hong Kong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.8%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
0
13.7%
81.5%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
17.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23.8%
0-3
13.8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
17.5%
0-4
8.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
10%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
GUM
3 - 0
MAC
31%
22%
47%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2012 |
MNP
1 - 3
GUM
1%
6%
93%
|
18 | 5 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2012 |
PHL
3 - 0
GUM
79%
14%
7%
|
18 | 50 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2009 |
HKG
12 - 0
GUM
93%
6%
1%
|
19 | 54 | 35 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
TWN
4 - 2
GUM
84%
11%
5%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
MAS
1 - 1
HKG
59%
22%
20%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
SGP
2 - 0
HKG
66%
19%
15%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
HKG
1 - 2
VIE
36%
24%
40%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
HKG
1 - 0
SGP
33%
25%
42%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
HKG
5 - 1
TWN
76%
14%
10%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | -1 |