Guam vs Chinese Taipei analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.3%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
76.1%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.9%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
GUM
9 - 0
MNP
95%
5%
1%
|
21 | 6 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
MNP
2 - 3
GUM
1%
7%
92%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2006 |
KHM
3 - 0
GUM
64%
17%
19%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2006 |
GUM
0 - 3
BGD
19%
23%
59%
|
23 | 47 | 24 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
PLE
11 - 0
GUM
82%
12%
6%
|
23 | 55 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Chinese Taipei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2006 |
SYR
3 - 0
TWN
92%
6%
2%
|
38 | 69 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2006 |
TWN
0 - 2
IRN
2%
9%
90%
|
38 | 89 | 51 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2006 |
KOR
8 - 0
TWN
89%
9%
2%
|
38 | 90 | 52 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
TWN
0 - 3
KOR
1%
9%
90%
|
39 | 90 | 51 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
LKA
3 - 0
TWN
44%
23%
33%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |