Guam vs Chinese Taipei analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
50.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2003 |
GUM
0 - 2
MAC
34%
23%
43%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2003 |
MNG
2 - 0
GUM
55%
21%
25%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
TJK
16 - 0
GUM
74%
15%
11%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2000 |
IRN
19 - 0
GUM
93%
6%
1%
|
37 | 87 | 50 | -1 |
Matches
Chinese Taipei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2003 |
TWN
4 - 0
MNG
43%
23%
34%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
HKG
2 - 0
TWN
82%
12%
6%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2002 |
GRD
5 - 2
TWN
76%
14%
10%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2002 |
TTO
0 - 1
TWN
92%
6%
2%
|
37 | 80 | 43 | +2 |
| 25 Jul. 2002 |
KNA
3 - 0
TWN
73%
16%
12%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | -1 |