Guadeloupe vs Sint Maarten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
8.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+3008%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guadeloupe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
KNA
1 - 2
GLP
26%
24%
50%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
GLP
2 - 3
GTM
19%
24%
57%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
CUB
1 - 4
GLP
44%
26%
31%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
CAN
2 - 2
GLP
84%
12%
4%
|
54 | 83 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
GLP
2 - 0
GUY
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sint Maarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
SXM
1 - 5
LCA
13%
16%
71%
|
18 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
GUF
4 - 1
SXM
88%
10%
2%
|
18 | 58 | 40 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
VIR
1 - 2
SXM
9%
13%
78%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
SXM
6 - 1
BES
10%
14%
76%
|
10 | 36 | 26 | +8 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
TCA
2 - 0
SXM
77%
14%
10%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | -1 |