Guadeloupe vs Suriname analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
33.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guadeloupe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
CRC
3 - 0
GLP
74%
18%
8%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
GLP
5 - 0
KNA
60%
21%
19%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
SXM
0 - 2
GLP
8%
14%
78%
|
56 | 17 | 39 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
GLP
2 - 0
LCA
62%
21%
17%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
LCA
2 - 1
GLP
20%
22%
58%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Suriname
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
GUY
1 - 3
SUR
38%
23%
39%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
AIA
0 - 4
SUR
10%
15%
75%
|
54 | 9 | 45 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
SUR
4 - 1
VCT
61%
20%
19%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
SUR
1 - 1
MTQ
28%
25%
47%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
SUR
4 - 0
GRD
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |