Guadeloupe vs Martinique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
49.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guadeloupe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2006 |
GLP
1 - 0
DMA
75%
16%
10%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2006 |
GLP
1 - 0
MAF
93%
6%
1%
|
51 | 14 | 37 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
MUS
2 - 1
GLP
46%
24%
30%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2005 |
MUS
1 - 1
GLP
46%
24%
30%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
PRI
1 - 3
GLP
36%
23%
41%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Martinique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2006 |
MTQ
1 - 0
MAF
94%
6%
1%
|
59 | 14 | 45 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2006 |
DMA
0 - 4
MTQ
11%
19%
70%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2004 |
MTQ
0 - 2
CUB
21%
24%
56%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
CUB
2 - 0
MTQ
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
MTQ
0 - 0
GLP
69%
18%
13%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |