Guadeloupe vs Nicaragua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
15.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guadeloupe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
PAN
1 - 2
GLP
75%
17%
9%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
CUB
0 - 0
GLP
67%
20%
14%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2008 |
JAM
2 - 0
GLP
82%
13%
5%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2008 |
ATG
2 - 2
GLP
25%
23%
52%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
HTI
2 - 3
GLP
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Nicaragua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2009 |
NIC
0 - 2
MEX
3%
11%
87%
|
55 | 92 | 37 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2009 |
NIC
2 - 0
GTM
8%
18%
74%
|
53 | 79 | 26 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 2009 |
NIC
1 - 1
BLZ
69%
18%
12%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
HND
4 - 1
NIC
91%
8%
2%
|
53 | 88 | 35 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2009 |
SLV
1 - 1
NIC
82%
12%
5%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |