Guadeloupe vs Dominica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
9.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guadeloupe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2006 |
GLP
1 - 0
MAF
93%
6%
1%
|
51 | 14 | 37 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
MUS
2 - 1
GLP
46%
24%
30%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2005 |
MUS
1 - 1
GLP
46%
24%
30%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
PRI
1 - 3
GLP
36%
23%
41%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
MTQ
0 - 0
GLP
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Dominica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2006 |
DMA
0 - 4
MTQ
11%
19%
70%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
DMA
0 - 5
BRB
35%
24%
41%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
ATG
1 - 0
DMA
50%
23%
27%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
GUY
3 - 0
DMA
45%
23%
32%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2005 |
GUY
3 - 0
DMA
36%
23%
42%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -2 |