WC Play Offs Final
Global 1-0
Greece vs Ukraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
GRC
2 - 1
LUX
80%
15%
5%
|
91 | 38 | 53 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
GRC
5 - 2
LVA
73%
19%
9%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
MDA
1 - 1
GRC
20%
27%
53%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
SUI
2 - 0
GRC
53%
26%
22%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
POL
2 - 0
GRC
51%
25%
23%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ukraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
AND
0 - 6
UKR
5%
20%
75%
|
90 | 48 | 42 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
UKR
1 - 0
ENG
19%
25%
55%
|
89 | 99 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
BLR
0 - 0
UKR
37%
29%
35%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
UKR
5 - 0
AND
94%
5%
1%
|
89 | 49 | 40 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
UKR
0 - 3
TUR
43%
27%
30%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | -1 |