Greece vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
43.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1981 |
YUG
5 - 1
GRC
81%
14%
5%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1981 |
CYP
0 - 1
GRC
37%
22%
41%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1981 |
LUX
0 - 2
GRC
27%
28%
45%
|
72 | 41 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1981 |
GRC
2 - 0
LUX
82%
13%
6%
|
72 | 41 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1980 |
GRC
0 - 2
ITA
19%
26%
55%
|
72 | 92 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1981 |
SCO
2 - 0
SWE
59%
24%
18%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1981 |
SWE
1 - 0
BGR
61%
24%
15%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1981 |
SWE
1 - 0
FIN
78%
15%
7%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 1981 |
SWE
3 - 0
POR
49%
27%
24%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1981 |
SWE
1 - 0
NIR
63%
24%
14%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |