Greece vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
34.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1989 |
GRC
1 - 4
YUG
27%
26%
47%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1989 |
GRC
0 - 1
TUR
68%
18%
15%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1989 |
GRC
3 - 2
DDR
34%
28%
38%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1989 |
GRC
4 - 2
NOR
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1989 |
GRC
1 - 2
ENG
23%
28%
49%
|
77 | 93 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1989 |
POL
2 - 1
ROU
56%
24%
20%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1989 |
ROU
1 - 0
ITA
38%
30%
33%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1988 |
ROU
3 - 0
ISR
68%
20%
12%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1988 |
ROU
3 - 0
GRC
70%
20%
11%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1988 |
BGR
1 - 3
ROU
49%
26%
26%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | +1 |