Greece vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
37.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1987 |
GRC
3 - 1
CYP
84%
11%
5%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1987 |
POR
1 - 1
GRC
68%
21%
12%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1986 |
CYP
2 - 4
GRC
24%
24%
52%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1986 |
GRC
2 - 1
HUN
23%
27%
50%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1986 |
POL
2 - 1
GRC
74%
18%
9%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1987 |
TUR
1 - 3
ROU
23%
25%
52%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1986 |
ESP
1 - 0
ROU
65%
22%
14%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1986 |
ISR
2 - 4
ROU
40%
28%
32%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1986 |
ROU
4 - 0
AUT
51%
27%
23%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1986 |
NOR
2 - 2
ROU
39%
28%
33%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |