Greece vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
36.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1978 |
YUG
4 - 1
GRC
75%
17%
8%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
GRC
4 - 1
HUN
21%
25%
54%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
GRC
8 - 1
FIN
72%
16%
12%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
SUN
2 - 0
GRC
81%
14%
5%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1978 |
AUS
1 - 1
GRC
63%
20%
17%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1978 |
ESP
1 - 0
ROU
71%
20%
10%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1978 |
ROU
3 - 2
YUG
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
ROU
1 - 0
POL
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1978 |
BGR
1 - 1
ROU
51%
26%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
ROU
0 - 1
SUN
46%
27%
27%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |