Greece vs East Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
47.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1982 |
GRC
1 - 2
POR
32%
25%
43%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
GRC
1 - 2
YUG
25%
25%
50%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1981 |
ITA
1 - 1
GRC
83%
14%
4%
|
73 | 92 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1981 |
GRC
2 - 3
DEN
44%
24%
32%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1981 |
GRC
2 - 1
SWE
32%
25%
43%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1982 |
BRA
3 - 1
DDR
74%
18%
9%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1981 |
DDR
5 - 1
MLT
92%
6%
2%
|
89 | 59 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1981 |
DDR
2 - 3
POL
58%
24%
19%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1981 |
DDR
5 - 0
CUB
90%
8%
3%
|
90 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1981 |
POL
1 - 0
DDR
51%
25%
24%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |