Greece vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2010 |
KOR
2 - 0
GRC
45%
26%
29%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2010 |
GRC
0 - 2
PAR
53%
26%
22%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2010 |
GRC
2 - 2
PRK
73%
18%
9%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
GRC
0 - 2
SEN
68%
21%
12%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
UKR
0 - 1
GRC
40%
26%
35%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2010 |
ARG
1 - 0
NGA
84%
12%
4%
|
87 | 96 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2010 |
NGA
3 - 1
PRK
68%
20%
11%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
NGA
1 - 1
COL
39%
28%
32%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2010 |
NGA
0 - 0
KSA
54%
25%
21%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
NGA
5 - 2
COD
68%
20%
11%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | -1 |