Greece vs Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
5.4%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
GRC
5 - 2
LVA
73%
19%
9%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
MDA
1 - 1
GRC
20%
27%
53%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
SUI
2 - 0
GRC
53%
26%
22%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
POL
2 - 0
GRC
51%
25%
23%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
GRC
2 - 1
ISR
52%
25%
23%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
LUX
0 - 3
SUI
13%
22%
65%
|
37 | 92 | 55 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
ISR
7 - 0
LUX
86%
11%
4%
|
37 | 89 | 52 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
MDA
0 - 0
LUX
75%
17%
8%
|
36 | 74 | 38 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
LUX
0 - 1
LTU
14%
22%
65%
|
37 | 78 | 41 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
LVA
2 - 0
LUX
78%
16%
7%
|
37 | 76 | 39 | 0 |