Greece vs Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
5.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1983 |
GRC
2 - 2
HUN
24%
26%
50%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1983 |
GRC
0 - 2
DEN
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1983 |
ITA
3 - 0
GRC
81%
15%
5%
|
72 | 91 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1983 |
HUN
2 - 3
GRC
86%
11%
3%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1983 |
DEN
1 - 0
GRC
74%
15%
11%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1983 |
LUX
0 - 4
ENG
14%
23%
63%
|
38 | 93 | 55 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1983 |
DEN
6 - 0
LUX
92%
6%
2%
|
39 | 82 | 43 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1983 |
HUN
6 - 2
LUX
93%
5%
2%
|
39 | 89 | 50 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1983 |
LUX
2 - 6
HUN
11%
19%
70%
|
39 | 89 | 50 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1982 |
ENG
9 - 0
LUX
87%
11%
2%
|
39 | 92 | 53 | 0 |