Greece vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
50.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1972 |
GRC
0 - 5
NED
36%
24%
41%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1971 |
GRC
0 - 2
ENG
20%
24%
56%
|
69 | 92 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1971 |
BGR
2 - 2
GRC
69%
17%
14%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1971 |
GRC
0 - 1
MEX
34%
24%
43%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1971 |
MEX
1 - 1
GRC
68%
18%
14%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1971 |
ITA
2 - 2
AUT
79%
14%
7%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1971 |
ITA
3 - 0
SWE
69%
19%
13%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1971 |
ITA
2 - 0
MEX
80%
13%
6%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1971 |
SWE
0 - 0
ITA
47%
25%
28%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1971 |
IRL
1 - 2
ITA
25%
27%
48%
|
91 | 72 | 19 | 0 |