Greece vs Israel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
33.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1976 |
GRC
1 - 0
POL
30%
26%
44%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1975 |
ITA
3 - 2
GRC
80%
15%
5%
|
70 | 91 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1975 |
BRD
1 - 1
GRC
87%
10%
3%
|
70 | 91 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1975 |
GRC
1 - 1
ROU
38%
25%
36%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 1975 |
GRC
4 - 0
MLT
68%
17%
15%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 1976 |
BRA
4 - 1
ISR
80%
12%
8%
|
78 | 93 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1976 |
FRA
1 - 1
ISR
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 1976 |
MEX
2 - 2
ISR
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1976 |
ISR
0 - 0
GTM
67%
18%
15%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1976 |
ISR
0 - 0
KOR
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |