Greece vs Georgia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
9.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1996 |
GRC
2 - 0
SVN
74%
16%
11%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1996 |
POR
1 - 0
GRC
66%
21%
12%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1996 |
FRA
3 - 1
GRC
79%
15%
6%
|
81 | 95 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1996 |
GRC
2 - 1
ISR
50%
26%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1995 |
GRC
5 - 0
FRO
85%
11%
4%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Georgia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1996 |
ROU
5 - 0
GEO
89%
8%
3%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1996 |
CYP
0 - 2
GEO
34%
26%
40%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1995 |
MDA
3 - 2
GEO
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1995 |
GEO
2 - 1
BGR
23%
25%
52%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1995 |
GER
4 - 1
GEO
93%
6%
2%
|
73 | 91 | 18 | 0 |