Greece vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
41.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1972 |
GRC
2 - 1
ITA
22%
27%
50%
|
68 | 91 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1972 |
GRC
0 - 5
NED
36%
24%
41%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1971 |
GRC
0 - 2
ENG
20%
24%
56%
|
69 | 92 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1971 |
BGR
2 - 2
GRC
69%
17%
14%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1971 |
GRC
0 - 1
MEX
34%
24%
43%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1972 |
NIR
1 - 1
ESP
36%
27%
37%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1972 |
ESP
1 - 0
HUN
41%
25%
34%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1971 |
ESP
7 - 0
CYP
78%
14%
8%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1971 |
ESP
0 - 0
SUN
62%
22%
16%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1971 |
SUN
2 - 1
ESP
58%
23%
19%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |