Greece vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21.1%
40.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1959 |
YUG
4 - 0
GRC
83%
11%
7%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1958 |
GRC
1 - 1
FRA
38%
23%
40%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1958 |
FRA
7 - 1
GRC
77%
14%
10%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1957 |
YUG
4 - 1
GRC
82%
11%
7%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1957 |
ROU
3 - 0
GRC
53%
20%
27%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1959 |
CSK
5 - 1
DEN
66%
18%
17%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
DEN
4 - 0
FIN
87%
9%
4%
|
75 | 45 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1959 |
DEN
2 - 2
CSK
57%
20%
23%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1959 |
NOR
2 - 4
DEN
51%
22%
28%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 1959 |
DEN
1 - 1
ISL
70%
15%
15%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |