Greece vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
40.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1973 |
GRC
2 - 3
ESP
31%
28%
41%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1972 |
YUG
1 - 0
GRC
82%
11%
6%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1972 |
GRC
1 - 3
FRA
33%
23%
44%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1972 |
ETH
0 - 1
GRC
38%
22%
40%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1972 |
GRC
0 - 0
ESP
30%
28%
42%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1973 |
CYP
0 - 3
BGR
21%
23%
56%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1972 |
CYP
0 - 4
BGR
23%
23%
54%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1972 |
BGR
3 - 0
NIR
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1972 |
BGR
2 - 1
YUG
89%
8%
3%
|
81 | 6 | 75 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1972 |
BGR
1 - 1
ITA
33%
27%
40%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |