Greece vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
38.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1970 |
GRC
0 - 1
SUI
64%
18%
17%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1970 |
GRC
1 - 1
CYP
55%
19%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1970 |
GRC
1 - 3
GER
31%
25%
44%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1970 |
GRC
1 - 3
AUS
47%
21%
32%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1970 |
ESP
2 - 1
GRC
77%
15%
8%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1971 |
GBR
1 - 0
BGR
34%
23%
43%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1970 |
BGR
1 - 1
NOR
72%
16%
12%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1970 |
BGR
1 - 1
MAR
73%
15%
12%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1970 |
BRD
5 - 2
BGR
81%
11%
7%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1970 |
PER
3 - 2
BGR
65%
19%
17%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |