Greece vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
45.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1978 |
CYP
0 - 2
GRC
44%
22%
35%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1977 |
GRC
0 - 0
YUG
27%
25%
48%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1977 |
BGR
0 - 0
GRC
73%
16%
11%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1977 |
ROU
6 - 1
GRC
78%
14%
8%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1977 |
HUN
3 - 0
GRC
85%
11%
4%
|
70 | 90 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
TUR
0 - 1
AUT
27%
26%
47%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
DDR
1 - 1
AUT
62%
23%
15%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1977 |
AUT
1 - 1
DDR
43%
27%
30%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1977 |
AUT
2 - 1
POL
47%
26%
27%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1977 |
CSK
0 - 0
AUT
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |