Greece vs Australia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
31.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1970 |
ESP
2 - 1
GRC
77%
15%
8%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1970 |
MLT
1 - 1
GRC
45%
22%
33%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
ROU
1 - 1
GRC
64%
20%
16%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1969 |
GRC
4 - 1
SUI
61%
19%
20%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 1969 |
AUS
0 - 2
GRC
68%
16%
16%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1970 |
ISR
0 - 1
AUS
46%
22%
32%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1969 |
AUS
0 - 2
GRC
68%
16%
16%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 1969 |
AUS
2 - 2
GRC
69%
16%
15%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1969 |
AUS
1 - 0
GRC
68%
16%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1968 |
AUS
1 - 3
JPN
67%
16%
17%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |