Grenada vs Saint Lucia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
36.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grenada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
MAF
0 - 2
GRD
17%
18%
65%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
GRD
0 - 3
CRC
10%
18%
72%
|
43 | 82 | 39 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
TTO
2 - 2
GRD
80%
14%
6%
|
42 | 67 | 25 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
GRD
0 - 3
VCT
47%
21%
32%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
SUR
4 - 0
GRD
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Saint Lucia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
LCA
2 - 1
CUW
16%
20%
65%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
LCA
2 - 2
ABW
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
HTI
2 - 1
LCA
76%
16%
8%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
LCA
1 - 2
SXM
72%
16%
13%
|
46 | 17 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
KNA
0 - 0
LCA
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |