Grenada vs Saint Lucia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
19.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grenada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
GRD
1 - 1
DMA
74%
16%
10%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
GRD
1 - 2
BMU
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2017 |
GRD
2 - 2
BMU
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
GRD
2 - 2
TTO
10%
16%
75%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2016 |
ATG
5 - 1
GRD
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Saint Lucia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2017 |
VCT
1 - 2
LCA
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2015 |
LCA
1 - 4
ATG
26%
24%
50%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2015 |
ATG
1 - 3
LCA
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
LCA
0 - 2
GRD
38%
25%
37%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2015 |
LCA
1 - 2
VCT
36%
25%
40%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |