Grenada vs Saint Lucia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grenada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
GRD
0 - 0
VCT
55%
22%
23%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
VCT
0 - 1
GRD
38%
25%
37%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
GRD
2 - 1
LCA
63%
20%
17%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2012 |
GRD
0 - 2
HTI
12%
19%
69%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
GRD
2 - 1
GUY
33%
24%
43%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Saint Lucia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
DMA
0 - 2
LCA
50%
23%
27%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
LCA
0 - 5
JAM
10%
20%
69%
|
42 | 78 | 36 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
DMA
0 - 1
LCA
55%
22%
24%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
GRD
2 - 1
LCA
63%
20%
17%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2013 |
VCT
0 - 2
LCA
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +3 |