Grenada vs Saint Lucia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
17.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grenada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2012 |
GRD
0 - 2
HTI
12%
19%
69%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
GRD
2 - 1
GUY
33%
24%
43%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2012 |
GRD
1 - 1
GUF
71%
17%
13%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
GRD
1 - 2
GUY
33%
24%
43%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
GRD
1 - 4
GTM
17%
23%
60%
|
49 | 77 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Saint Lucia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2013 |
VCT
0 - 2
LCA
60%
21%
19%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
LCA
0 - 3
GUY
15%
21%
65%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
LCA
1 - 0
VCT
15%
19%
66%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2012 |
LCA
5 - 1
CUW
30%
24%
47%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
PRI
3 - 0
LCA
70%
18%
13%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |