Grenada vs Dominica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
10.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grenada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2015 |
GRD
2 - 3
VCT
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
GUY
2 - 0
GRD
52%
24%
25%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
BMU
2 - 2
GRD
58%
21%
21%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
PRI
2 - 2
GRD
29%
24%
48%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
CUW
2 - 1
GRD
13%
19%
68%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Dominica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2015 |
LCA
1 - 1
DMA
67%
19%
14%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
DMA
0 - 0
VGB
84%
11%
5%
|
32 | 10 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
VGB
2 - 3
DMA
16%
20%
64%
|
32 | 10 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ATG
1 - 0
DMA
73%
17%
10%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
DMA
1 - 2
LCA
20%
22%
59%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |