Ghana vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ghana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
TUR
2 - 2
GHA
64%
22%
15%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
LSO
0 - 2
GHA
9%
22%
69%
|
84 | 49 | 35 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2013 |
SDN
1 - 3
GHA
23%
26%
51%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
GHA
4 - 0
SDN
76%
17%
7%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
MLI
3 - 1
GHA
28%
26%
46%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
ZAM
1 - 1
SEN
39%
29%
32%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 1
ZAM
23%
26%
51%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
ZIM
0 - 2
ZAM
22%
25%
54%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2013 |
RSA
0 - 0
ZAM
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
ZAM
3 - 1
MOZ
67%
20%
13%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |