CHAN Qualifying Segunda Ronda Final
Global 2-2
Ghana vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
38.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ghana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
QAT
2 - 1
GHA
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
BEN
0 - 1
GHA
26%
27%
47%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
GHA
3 - 0
BEN
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
GHA
0 - 0
CHI
21%
25%
54%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
JPN
4 - 1
GHA
78%
15%
8%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
STP
0 - 10
NGA
8%
18%
74%
|
84 | 37 | 47 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
NGA
2 - 1
SLE
78%
15%
7%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
ECU
1 - 0
NGA
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
MEX
2 - 1
NGA
69%
20%
12%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
NGA
1 - 1
GHA
62%
22%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |