Ghana vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ghana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1989 |
GHA
1 - 1
LBY
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1989 |
GUI
1 - 1
GHA
34%
28%
38%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1987 |
CUB
1 - 1
GHA
41%
25%
35%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1987 |
BEN
1 - 1
GHA
16%
25%
60%
|
76 | 45 | 31 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1987 |
LBY
0 - 2
GHA
37%
25%
38%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1990 |
NGA
3 - 0
TOG
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1990 |
ALG
1 - 0
NGA
57%
27%
17%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1990 |
NGA
2 - 0
ZAM
46%
30%
25%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1990 |
NGA
1 - 0
CIV
44%
30%
26%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1990 |
NGA
1 - 0
EGY
35%
30%
34%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |