Ghana vs Nigeria analysis

Ghana Nigeria
78 ELO 72
-18.2% Tilt -15.1%
425º General ELO ranking 256º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
59.2%
Ghana
22.9%
Draw
17.9%
Nigeria

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
Ghana
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17.9%
Win probability
Nigeria
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ghana
-5%
-10%
Nigeria

ELO progression

Ghana
Nigeria
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ghana
Ghana
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Nov. 1989
GHA
Ghana
1 - 1
Libya
LBY
66%
20%
14%
77 68 9 0
26 Nov. 1989
GUI
Guinea
1 - 1
Ghana
GHA
34%
28%
38%
77 66 11 0
10 Dec. 1987
CUB
Cuba
1 - 1
Ghana
GHA
41%
25%
35%
76 69 7 +1
08 Dec. 1987
BEN
Benin
1 - 1
Ghana
GHA
16%
25%
60%
77 44 33 -1
31 Oct. 1987
LBY
Libya
0 - 2
Ghana
GHA
37%
25%
38%
76 66 10 +1

Matches

Nigeria
Nigeria
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Aug. 1990
NGA
Nigeria
3 - 0
Togo
TOG
60%
22%
18%
71 63 8 0
16 Mar. 1990
ALG
Algeria
1 - 0
Nigeria
NGA
57%
27%
17%
72 78 6 -1
12 Mar. 1990
NGA
Nigeria
2 - 0
Zambia
ZAM
46%
30%
25%
70 73 3 +2
08 Mar. 1990
NGA
Nigeria
1 - 0
Ivory Coast
CIV
44%
30%
26%
70 74 4 0
05 Mar. 1990
NGA
Nigeria
1 - 0
Egypt
EGY
35%
30%
34%
69 80 11 +1
X