Ghana vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ghana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1983 |
GHA
3 - 1
TOG
74%
16%
10%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1983 |
CIV
0 - 2
GHA
33%
23%
44%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1983 |
GHA
1 - 0
LBN
79%
14%
7%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1983 |
GHA
1 - 1
TOG
75%
16%
10%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1983 |
GHA
2 - 1
THA
72%
17%
11%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1983 |
IDN
1 - 2
NGA
38%
30%
32%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1983 |
KOR
1 - 0
NGA
72%
17%
10%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1983 |
THA
0 - 0
NGA
48%
28%
25%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1983 |
GHA
1 - 0
NGA
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1983 |
ETH
0 - 1
NGA
36%
25%
39%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |