Ghana vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ghana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1983 |
GHA
1 - 0
LBY
70%
17%
12%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1982 |
SEN
2 - 2
GHA
27%
23%
50%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1982 |
THA
1 - 4
GHA
33%
25%
41%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 1982 |
IND
0 - 1
GHA
20%
24%
56%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1982 |
SGP
0 - 3
GHA
18%
24%
58%
|
77 | 48 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1983 |
ETH
0 - 1
NGA
36%
25%
39%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1983 |
GAB
0 - 0
NGA
36%
24%
40%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1983 |
NGA
1 - 1
EGY
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1983 |
NGA
0 - 0
EGY
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1982 |
NGA
1 - 0
SLE
66%
18%
15%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |